Coronavirus: NHS ‘can cope’ with Indian variant if different areas have outbreaks just like Bolton


Chris Hopson, chief of NHS Suppliers which represents hospitals throughout England, stated if different areas have the same expertise to Bolton the NHS ought to be capable of cope

The NHS can address spikes in Indian variant circumstances with out lockdowns if different areas have related outbreaks to Bolton, the primary place to be hit by the pressure, in line with a well being union boss.

Chris Hopson, the chief of NHS Suppliers which represents hospitals throughout England, stated immediately that the surge in circumstances and hospital admissions within the Larger Manchester city was manageable for its hospitals.

Sufferers have been usually youthful and fewer sick, he prompt, than within the crippling second wave over the winter, and the numbers of individuals coming in have been decrease and considerably fewer of them are dying.

Vaccines look like doing plenty of the heavy lifting, Mr Hopson stated, including that they’ve damaged the hyperlink between infections and ‘very excessive’ ranges of hospital admissions and deaths in earlier waves of the virus.

Though there are fears single doses of the jabs could not work as effectively towards the ‘Delta’ pressure as they did towards the Kent variant, full vaccination with two doses continues to be anticipated to guard the overwhelming majority of individuals from extreme sickness or demise. 

Bolton has been overtaken by close by Blackburn because the nation’s Covid hotspot after circumstances surged there pushed by the Indian variant, which accounts for nearly all infections within the city. Hospital admissions rose shortly after, to a peak of 49 individuals on wards with Covid and 14 admitted in a day, however these look like falling now, too, with 42 reported in sufferers on June 1.

Mr Hopson stated: ‘If – and it’s a massive if – if Bolton has gone by means of its full cycle and if different areas comply with Bolton, the view from the hospital there was that they have been ready to deal with the extent of infections.’

His feedback come as stress is constructing in direction of Boris Johnson’s speech subsequent Monday when he’s anticipated reveal whether or not June 21’s ‘Freedom Day’ finish of social distancing will go forward. Present developments look as if he’ll lengthen lockdown legal guidelines for just a few extra weeks or till the summer time holidays to purchase extra time for vaccinations.

The number of people being admitted to hospital each day across the whole of the UK has remained roughly stable for the past couple of weeks but a surge in infections last week and this week is expected to lead to a rise later in June. Ministers and scientists will hope that the ratio of cases to admissions is significantly smaller than in earlier waves, thanks to vaccines

The variety of individuals being admitted to hospital every day throughout the entire of the UK has remained roughly secure for the previous couple of weeks however a surge in infections final week and this week is predicted to result in an increase later in June. Ministers and scientists will hope that the ratio of circumstances to admissions is considerably smaller than in earlier waves, because of vaccines

Cases in Bolton appear to have begun falling amid surge testing and contact tracing to root out the Indian variant. Bolton was the first area in England to experience a major outbreak of the mutant strain but seems to have managed to contain it without a lockdown

Circumstances in Bolton seem to have begun falling amid surge testing and phone tracing to root out the Indian variant. Bolton was the primary space in England to expertise a significant outbreak of the mutant pressure however appears to have managed to comprise it with no lockdown

Department of Health data shows its Covid hospitalisations are also now falling, and did not reach the peaks during either the first or second wave. NHS officials in the area say they are confident they will not be overwhelmed

Division of Well being knowledge reveals its Covid hospitalisations are additionally now falling, and didn’t attain the peaks throughout both the primary or second wave. NHS officers within the space say they’re assured they won’t be overwhelmed

The Indian variant is now dominant in more than two thirds of England's local authorities, and has spread to 85 per cent of the country, according to the latest surveillance data from Britain's leading centre for tracking the virus variants, the Sanger Institute

The Indian variant is now dominant in additional than two thirds of England’s native authorities, and has unfold to 85 per cent of the nation, in line with the most recent surveillance knowledge from Britain’s main centre for monitoring the virus variants, the Sanger Institute

Mr Hopson instructed Occasions Radio: ‘It is vital to not simply give attention to the uncooked numbers right here… you additionally do want to take a look at who’s being admitted into hospital and the way clinically susceptible and what stage of acuity [illness] they have.

‘What chief executives are persistently telling us is that it’s a a lot youthful inhabitants that’s coming in, they’re much less clinically susceptible, they’re much less in want of essential care and subsequently they’re seeing what they imagine is a considerably decrease mortality fee which is, you already know, borne out by the figures.

‘So it isn’t simply the numbers of people who find themselves coming in, it is truly the extent of hurt and medical threat.’ 

Individuals in England making summer time plans for after ‘Freedom Day’ have been immediately instructed to ‘wait till you have heard from the Prime Minister’, in one other trace that June 21 easings can be pushed again due to the Indian variant.

No10 is contemplating delaying the ultimate stage of the roadmap out of lockdown following jittery warnings from prime scientists concerning the unfold of the mutant pressure.

Some are pushing for restrictions to stay in place till as late as the beginning of English faculty holidays on July 23, hoping the transfer would give the NHS invaluable further time to make sure tens of millions extra over-50s are totally vaccinated and guarded towards the Delta variant.

Cupboard minister Robert Jenrick immediately appeared to drop the most important trace but that England’s last unlocking can be delayed, with circumstances ‘clearly rising’. Yesterday Britain recorded the most important week-on-week soar in infections since earlier than Christmas, after the variety of optimistic assessments jumped by 90 per cent to six,083.

Requested whether or not weddings with greater than 30 visitors will as soon as once more be allowed from June 21, he stated: ‘I would not make plans till you’ve got heard from the PM if that’s vital to you.

‘We now have all the time stated that the roadmap is topic to overview of the info. That’s what is occurring proper now, so whether or not it’s weddings or worldwide journey or any of those different vital subjects, you all the time have to attend till the judgement is made on the idea of the info on the resolution level.’  

Weddings are one of many few areas of society but to get pleasure from any freedom, with ceremonies at present capped to 30 visitors in England. The ultimate step of the roadmap will take away the restrict, alongside permitting nightclubs to reopen and other people to ask greater than six others into their houses. 

Boris Johnson is predicted to verify by Monday on the newest whether or not the June 21 plan will go forward and he’s operating the roadmap timetable all the way down to the wire, up to now refusing to present any indication of what he’ll do.

Regardless of rising calls to delay the transfer, Michael Gove — who has referred to as for a cautious strategy to the roadmap — stated he would ‘guess on a leisure’ of the coronavirus guidelines on June 21 if he was a ‘betting man’.

In the meantime, Whitehall sources say Rishi Sunak — who’s determined for the PM to stay to the goal date to get key sectors resembling hospitality firing on all cylinders — may reluctantly settle for an extension to lockdown however for not than ‘per week or two’. However The Guardian claims the Chancellor can be prepared to delay Freedom Day by a month, which may see it pushed again till July 19.

Different specialists and Tory MPs have lined as much as urge the Prime Minister to not delay the unlocking, saying individuals should be taught to reside with the virus and the NHS must be ‘in a position to cope’ with any surge from the Indian variant.

Dr David Nabarro, the World Well being Group’s particular envoy on Covid, stated that ‘life has to go on’ when requested whether or not the Authorities ought to keep on with its roadmap on BBC Radio 4’s At the moment programme. However he added vaccines wouldn’t be sufficient and other people would want to maintain adapting their life to combat the illness.  

Ministers yesterday ramped up help for Larger Manchester and elements of Lancashire, urging 4million individuals dwelling in each areas to not depart the world and keep away from assembly individuals indoors. Andy Burnham, Larger Manchester’s mayor, stated there was ‘each motive to imagine’ the additional help will efficiently curb the unfold of the mutant pressure.

It got here as official knowledge revealed eight in 10 adults in England now have indicators of immunity to Covid from both a vaccine or catching the virus previously. Workplace for Nationwide Statistics blood testing discovered 80.3 per cent of adults examined optimistic for antibodies within the third week of Could. 

The ultimate batch of restrictions are on account of be relaxed on June 21, however there are rising requires the final spherical of easings to be delayed amid the speedy unfold of the Indian variant, which is now dominant within the UK and at the least 40 per cent extra transmissible than the Kent pressure of the virus. 

Mr Jenrick hinted to Sky Information that June 21 may very well be pushed again, saying:’We created this five-week interval between the levels of the street map and that has truly proved invaluable on this event, as a result of it is a finely balanced resolution.

‘We have to see that knowledge of circumstances, that are clearly rising, however the hyperlink to hospitalisations and finally to demise.

‘So the Prime Minister is reviewing that forward of the choice level, which goes to be June 14 – at that time after all he’ll let all people know what the last word resolution is.’

He added: ‘We’re going to take a cautious strategy but when we are able to proceed with that reopening on the twenty first of June after all all of us would like to see that, for our personal lives and for the livelihoods that rely on that additional reopening.’

The minister was additionally grilled on whether or not Britons would be capable of vacation overseas this 12 months, saying individuals ought to keep on with the ‘admittedly comparatively small variety of nations’ on the ‘inexperienced’ listing, and never journey to ‘amber’ or ‘pink’ areas except completely mandatory.

‘You should not be reserving holidays to nations which are at present on both the amber listing or the pink listing,’ he instructed the programme.

‘You’ll be able to go to the admittedly comparatively small variety of nations on the inexperienced listing.

‘Even there bear in mind that this is not a traditional summer time for holidays, we’re reviewing that listing each three weeks and so I’d advise individuals to search for journey operators who can supply flexibility, would be capable of supply rescheduling or repayments if one thing adjustments.

‘We want to open up that inexperienced listing to extra nations however we have now clearly obtained to take action cautiously.’

Solely 11 nations and territories are on the inexperienced listing, which incorporates no main journey locations in Europe.

The Prime Minister was yesterday reported to be contemplating delaying June 21 by about two weeks to present further time for all over-50s — who’re most vulnerable to hospitalisation and demise from the virus — to get their second dose of the Covid vaccine, and for it to take impact.

However some specialists have referred to as on him to not delay the unlocking. Requested whether or not June 21 ought to go forward, Dr Nabarro prompt ministers ought to keep on with the roadmap.

‘It will possibly’t be nearly restrictions – the long run for humanity goes to require that we adapt our life in order that we make it arduous for this virus to unfold,’ he stated.

The Army is being sent in to help with surge testing and health chiefs will have the power to enforce mandatory face masks in secondary schools. Pictured: The Royal Horse Artillery help out at a walk-in vaccination bus in Bolton town centre today

The Military is being despatched in to assist with surge testing and well being chiefs could have the facility to implement obligatory face masks in secondary faculties. Pictured: The Royal Horse Artillery assist out at a walk-in vaccination bus in Bolton city centre immediately

In the two weeks to May 29, the latest data available, the variant was dominant in 201 of 317 local authorities, or two thirds of England

In the two-week period to May 22 the variant was dominant in 102 areas

DARK RED/PURPLE = MORE INDIAN VARIANT CASES. Variant-tracking knowledge from the Wellcome Sanger Institute reveals that the now-dominant Indian ‘Delta’ pressure is hotly centered within the North West of England, the place the brand new restrictions are coming into place

Eight out of 10 adults in England now have Covid antibodies 

Eight out of 10 adults in England now have indicators of immunity to Covid from both a vaccine or having had the virus previously.

An everyday blood-testing report from the Workplace for Nationwide Statistics discovered that 80.3 per cent of adults in England examined optimistic for coronavirus antibodies within the third week of Could, up from 76 per cent on the finish of April.

Antibodies are virus-fighting proteins that give individuals immunity to the virus and may cease them from getting sick in the event that they catch it, though they do not all the time give complete safety.

The nation’s large vaccination programme, which yesterday began providing jabs to individuals of their 20s for the primary time, is the driving power behind the surging numbers of people that present indicators of immunity.

Antibody positive levels are highest among older age groups who have had two doses but rising fast in younger adults, too

Antibody optimistic ranges are highest amongst older age teams who’ve had two doses however rising quick in youthful adults, too

Throughout the entire of the UK a complete of 40.6million individuals have had at the least one dose of a jab – greater than three quarters of all adults – and 28.2m have had each jabs giving them the utmost attainable safety.

NHS bosses Sir Simon Stevens stated on Monday that the vaccine rollout is coming into ‘the house straight’ as well being chiefs and Matt Hancock urged everybody to get a jab as quickly as attainable to assist the nation finish lockdown guidelines.

The ONS report stated: ‘There’s a clear sample between vaccination and testing optimistic for Covid-19 antibodies.’

The ONS report confirmed that Wales had the most individuals testing optimistic for antibodies within the UK, with 83 per cent. In Scotland it was 73 per cent and Northern Eire 80 per cent.

Throughout the areas of England, positivity was highest within the East Midlands and the North West, with 80 per cent, and lowest in London with 76 per cent.

Vaccine uptake is considerably decrease within the capital, with solely 68 per cent of adults having had a jab, in comparison with greater than 76 per cent in each different area.

Greater charges of an infection in London within the first and second waves have boosted immunity, nonetheless, as a result of most individuals additionally take a look at optimistic if they’ve had coronavirus previously.

‘We all know that the virus is consistently altering, which implies that though vaccination is a marvellous marvellous asset, it isn’t going to be sufficient. 

‘We’re going to should proceed to behave as if the virus is an ever current risk.

‘So by all means, let the restrictions be launched, however on the similar time may I encourage all people, all over the place to go on behaving rigorously.

‘At college, on the college, within the pub, within the restaurant, within the social membership, the virus continues to be going to be round and it might probably come again with an enormous surge, very, in a short time.’

Mr Hopson has additionally prompt the most recent spherical of easings may go forward as a result of the NHS could possibly address the upper stress if hospitalisations comply with Bolton.

The Larger Manchester borough’s hospitalisations are falling after circumstances additionally started to drop, following efforts to ramp up vaccinations in the neighborhood and surge testing to root out each case.

The NHS Suppliers chief government instructed Occasions Radio: ‘And if, and it’s a massive if, if Bolton has gone by means of its full cycle and if others areas comply with Bolton, the view from the hospital there was that they have been ready to deal with the extent of infections.

‘It is vital to not simply give attention to the uncooked numbers right here…you additionally do want to take a look at who’s being admitted into hospital and the way clinically susceptible and what stage of acuity they have.

‘What chief executives are persistently telling us is that it’s a a lot youthful inhabitants that’s coming in, they’re much less clinically susceptible, they’re much less in want of essential care and subsequently they’re seeing what they imagine is considerably decrease mortality fee which is, you already know, borne out by the figures. 

‘So it isn’t simply the numbers of people who find themselves coming in, it is truly the extent of hurt and medical threat.’

Amid rising concern June 21 could also be pushed again, impresario Andrew Lloyd Webber warned Boris Johnson that nothing will cease him from reopening his theatres on that date and he was ready to be arrested.

The composer, 73, instructed the Every day Telegraph he could should promote his six West Finish venues if the Authorities doesn’t chill out its restrictions.

He additionally revealed he has already remortgaged his London dwelling.

‘We’re going to open, come hell or excessive water,’ Lord Lloyd-Webber instructed the Telegraph.

Requested what he would do if the Authorities postponed lifting lockdown, he stated: ‘We’ll say: ”Come to the theatre and arrest us.”’ 

Ministers yesterday introduced enhanced help for Larger Manchester and elements of Lancashire to assist the world curb the unfold of the Indian variant.

Matt Hancock stated the army can be introduced in as a part of the ‘strengthened package deal of help’.

The Well being Secretary additionally inspired the as much as six million individuals dwelling within the space to not journey to different elements of the UK and get examined twice per week to assist curb the unfold the unfold of the Indian variant.

He added that residents ought to attempt to work at home the place attainable, and that faculties may reintroduce face coverings in communal areas in the event that they have been suggested to take action by native administrators of public well being.

Mr Burnham has expressed help for the measures taken in his area and Lancashire.

He stated the package deal was ‘higher than the way in which they went about it final 12 months’, including it had a ‘higher likelihood of carrying the general public with it’. ‘We now have each motive to imagine it is going to be profitable,’ he stated.

It comes as Chancellor Rishi Sunak was reportedly amongst a string of Cupboard ministers urgent Boris Johnson to stay to the goal date, arguing there’s a urgent must get key sectors resembling hospitality firing on all cylinders.

A Whitehall supply stated Mr Sunak may reside with a delay of ‘per week or two’ however would resist any additional slippage as this might contain extending the furlough scheme.

‘I do not assume he is in precept towards a brief delay if that’s what is critical,’ the supply stated. ‘Whether it is greater than per week or two then that’s problematic.’ 

Treasury sources stated there have been no plans to increase the furlough scheme, which continues in full till the top of this month. From July, employers must make a progressively rising contribution till the scheme ends in September.

Antibody levels in adults in April were relatively high in older people, most of whom had had at least one vaccine dose, but low in younger groups
In May almost all elderly people had been given two vaccine doses, giving the country widespread immune coverage, and rates had surged in younger adults, too

APRIL LEFT, MAY RIGHT: Graphs present the proportions of individuals in numerous age teams who present indicators of immunity to coronavirus in blood assessments. The degrees are virtually maxed out in aged and middle-aged teams who have been first to get vaccinated and have clearly risen in youthful teams throughout Could 

Andrew Lloyd Webber says Boris Johnson must arrest him to cease theatre reopening on June 21

Andrew Lloyd Webber has warned Boris Johnson that nothing will cease him from reopening his theatres on June 21 and he’s ready to be arrested.   

The composer, 73, instructed the Every day Telegraph he could should promote his six West Finish venues if the Authorities doesn’t chill out its restrictions.

He additionally revealed he has already remortgaged his London dwelling.

The composer, 73, told the Daily Telegraph he may have to sell his six West End venues if the Government does not relax its restrictions

The composer, 73, instructed the Every day Telegraph he could should promote his six West Finish venues if the Authorities doesn’t chill out its restrictions

The pandemic has had a catastrophic monetary affect on the theatre trade and lots of have remained closed regardless of the benefit in Covid-19 restrictions as it’s not financially viable for them to open with diminished capacities.

Lord Lloyd-Webber is making ready for a manufacturing of Cinderella, which is scheduled to open for previews on June 25 forward of its world premiere in July.

‘We’re going to open, come hell or excessive water,’ Lord Lloyd-Webber instructed the Telegraph.

Requested what he would do if the Authorities postponed lifting lockdown, he stated: ‘We’ll say: ”come to the theatre and arrest us.”’

It comes as eight out of 10 adults in England now have indicators of immunity to Covid from both a vaccine or having had the virus previously.

An everyday blood-testing report from the Workplace for Nationwide Statistics discovered that 80.3 per cent of adults in England examined optimistic for coronavirus antibodies within the third week of Could, up from 76 per cent on the finish of April.

Antibodies are virus-fighting proteins that give individuals immunity to the virus and may cease them from getting sick in the event that they catch it, though they do not all the time give complete safety.

The nation’s large vaccination programme, which yesterday began providing jabs to individuals of their 20s for the primary time, is the driving power behind the surging numbers of people that present indicators of immunity.

Throughout the entire of the UK a complete of 40.6million individuals have had at the least one dose of a jab – greater than three quarters of all adults – and 28.2m have had each jabs giving them the utmost attainable safety.

NHS bosses Sir Simon Stevens stated on Monday that the vaccine rollout is coming into ‘the house straight’ as well being chiefs and Matt Hancock urged everybody to get a jab as quickly as attainable to assist the nation finish lockdown guidelines.

The ONS report stated: ‘There’s a clear sample between vaccination and testing optimistic for Covid-19 antibodies.’ 

The ONS report confirmed that Wales had the most individuals testing optimistic for antibodies within the UK, with 83 per cent. In Scotland it was 73 per cent and Northern Eire 80 per cent.

Throughout the areas of England, positivity was highest within the East Midlands and the North West, with 80 per cent, and lowest in London with 76 per cent.

Vaccine uptake is considerably decrease within the capital, with solely 68 per cent of adults having had a jab, in comparison with greater than 76 per cent in each different area. 

Greater charges of an infection in London within the first and second waves have boosted immunity, nonetheless, as a result of most individuals additionally take a look at optimistic if they’ve had coronavirus previously.

The age distribution of immunity is straight linked to the vaccine rollout, with increased charges in older individuals and decrease ones amongst youthful individuals who have not but had their jabs.

In over-50s in England, for instance, greater than 98 per cent of individuals confirmed indicators of immunity.

In these aged 35 to 49 it was 78 per cent, in 25 to 34-year-olds it was 59 per cent and in under-25s it was 53 per cent.

Andy Burnham requires No10 to redirect Covid vaccine provides to Larger Manchester’

Andy Burnham has called for vaccine supplies to be diverted to Indian Covid variant hotspots including Greater Manchester to jab over-18s

Andy Burnham has referred to as for vaccine provides to be diverted to Indian Covid variant hotspots together with Larger Manchester to jab over-18s

Larger Manchester’s mayor Andy Burnham has immediately referred to as for vaccine provides to be redirected to his area and different Indian Covid variant hotspots to sort out the unfold of the mutant pressure.

The previous Labour MP, dubbed the ‘King of the North’, is urging ministers to open up jabs to over-18s in badly-hit areas to take care of surging circumstances. 

He argued surging provides to the area would cease the unfold of the Delta variant and supplied the perfect hope of No10 with the ability to unlock totally on June 21.

However a Authorities minister immediately dismissed Mr Burnham’s calls to divert coronavirus vaccine provides to areas together with Larger Manchester and Lancashire. 4 million individuals dwelling in each areas have been yesterday slapped with harder steering urging them to not depart the world and keep away from assembly individuals indoors.

Communities Secretary Robert Jenrick stated No10 was ‘going to stay with the recommendation’ given to them by prime scientific advisers concerning the roll-out. 

At the moment the inoculation drive is barely open to over-25s in England. However some areas have already begun providing jabs to over-18s, together with in elements of Manchester.

Requested about whether or not he needed over-18s to be prioritised within the roll-out on BBC Radio 4’s At the moment programme, he stated: ‘We completely would say surge vaccine provides into excessive case areas, so not simply Larger Manchester and Lancashire [but] different elements of the nation. 

‘It makes rather more sense to get on with the vaccination programme in June, then doing that later within the 12 months or later as a result of clearly the necessity is now to cease the unfold of the virus.

‘After all it could gradual the vaccination programme in different elements of the nation the place circumstances are decrease.’ 

Debate concerning the lifting of lockdown has intensified on the prime of presidency following a surge in Covid circumstances. 

Authorities scientists are understood to have warned ministers that each day circumstances are on track to be operating at effectively over 10,000 a day by June 21.

Yesterday, each day circumstances topped 6,000 for the second time since mid-March. And there’s concern that those that have had just one jab are in danger from the virulent Indian pressure.

Matt Hancock instructed MPs on Monday that solely three of the 126 individuals hospitalised by the Indian variant within the UK had been totally vaccinated. However an additional 28 in hospital – simply over a fifth of the full – had acquired one jab.

Mr Hancock and the Chief Medical Officer Chris Whitty are stated to have argued {that a} quick delay would allow many extra to achieve the additional safety of a second jab. However Michael Gove, who can also be urging warning, is alleged to imagine Mr Johnson will press forward with lifting at the least some restrictions on June 21.

Downing Road stated the Prime Minister needed to see extra knowledge earlier than saying the choice on Monday. 

Tory MPs urged Mr Johnson to overrule the scientists. 

Former occasion chief Sir Iain Duncan Smith stated: ‘Scientists have gotten themselves right into a frightened state the place none of them need to be the one who says unlock as a result of they’re fearful they are going to be blamed if one thing goes fallacious, although there isn’t any proof that it’ll.

‘They’re drifting in direction of a zero Covid aim, which is unattainable, and the politicians should take again management.’

Former Cupboard minister David Jones additionally warned towards additional delay. ‘We can not proceed to reside as we have now for the final 15 months,’ he stated. At some stage we have now to take our braveness in our fingers and begin getting again to regular, and that stage is now.’ 

It comes after MailOnline evaluation yesterday revealed all over-50s in England may very well be totally protected towards Covid by July 1 — practically two weeks after ‘freedom day on June 21.

The figures will increase requires the Authorities to delay opening up all restrictions on June 21 for a fortnight to be able to guarantee essentially the most susceptible members of society have all had time for each doses to have had an impact. 

Consultants say the vaccine forecast helps the case for a delay in reopening as a result of one dose of vaccine could be as little as 30 per cent efficient towards the Indian coronavirus variant that’s now dominant within the UK.

Circumstances are at present rising by round 40 per cent per week and new infections can be effectively above 15,000 a day by June 21, though it stays to be seen if the total vaccination of older Britons will maintain hospital occupancy low.

However opponents of a postponement imagine the vaccines have efficiently damaged the hyperlink between circumstances and hospitalisations, and argue the financial price of a delay can be larger than that attributable to a 3rd wave this summer time.

Consultants instructed MailOnline the figures recommend the Authorities can be proper to delay by two weeks to be able to guarantee all over-50s have had their second dose and are protected.



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